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Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?

53.5% implied · bid 53.0¢ · ask 54.0¢

The market prices this at 53.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability53.0%

Bid / ask / mid53.0¢ / 54.0¢ / 53.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.9%)

Change 24h+2.50pt

Change 7d+3.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,927

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$380 / $480

Imbalance15% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.4 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.10

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d2.80pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 15d 22h.

Time to resolve15d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%