← Explore · Market 3205508
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
18.5% implied · bid 18.0¢ · ask 19.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability18.0%
Bid / ask / mid18.0¢ / 19.0¢ / 18.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$10,346
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,546 / $1,668
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.74
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.78pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 37d 2h.
Time to resolve37d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%