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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 24, 2026?

1.4% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 2.4¢

The market prices this at 0.5%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.5%

Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 2.4¢ / 1.4¢

Spread2.1¢ (155.6%)

Change 24h+0.45pt

Change 7d+0.80pt

Thin (score 40/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$378

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $34

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score39.5 / 100

RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.77

RSI (14, hourly)40.0

Realized vol 7d0.26pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 0d 2h.

Time to resolve0d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%