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← Explore · Market 3207790

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 26, 2026?

1.1% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 1.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.4%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability1.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 1.5¢ / 1.1¢
Spread0.9¢ (85.7%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d-3.35pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$37
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $36
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.38
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.36pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2d 2h.

Time to resolve2d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth