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← Explore · Market 3207791

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, 2026?

2.3% implied · bid 1.4¢ · ask 3.1¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.3%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 1.7¢ spread.

Implied probability2.3%
Bid / ask / mid1.4¢ / 3.1¢ / 2.3¢
Spread1.7¢ (75.6%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d-1.80pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$15
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12 / $87
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 22 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.50
RSI (14, hourly)22.2
Realized vol 7d0.43pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3d 2h.

Time to resolve3d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth