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← Explore · Market 3207796

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?

93.3% implied · bid 93.2¢ · ask 93.4¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 93.2%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability93.2%
Bid / ask / mid93.2¢ / 93.4¢ / 93.3¢
Spread0.2¢ (0.2%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d+6.85pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 81/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,691
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16,223 / $47,975
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score81.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 26 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.67
RSI (14, hourly)26.3
Realized vol 7d0.69pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 2h.

Time to resolve7d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth