a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 3210163

Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?

11.0% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 13.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 12.0%, down 13.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 11.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (36.4%)
Change 24h-13.00pt
Change 7d-22.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,246
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$71 / $59
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 68 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.94
RSI (14, hourly)68.4
Realized vol 7d2.71pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth