← Explore · Market 3210164
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?
49.3% implied · bid 48.6¢ · ask 49.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 48.3%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 1.3¢ spread.
Implied probability48.3%
Bid / ask / mid48.6¢ / 49.9¢ / 49.3¢
Spread1.3¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d+45.85pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,823
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$228 / $193
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 47 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.73
RSI (14, hourly)47.3
Realized vol 7d3.37pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%