← Explore · Market 3210165
Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?
27.1% implied · bid 26.2¢ · ask 28.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.3%, up 13.8pt over 24h, on a 1.8¢ spread.
Implied probability26.3%
Bid / ask / mid26.2¢ / 28.0¢ / 27.1¢
Spread1.8¢ (6.6%)
Change 24h+13.75pt
Change 7d+24.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,113
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$208 / $387
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 9 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.18
RSI (14, hourly)8.6
Realized vol 7d1.77pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%