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← Explore · Market 3210165

Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?

27.1% implied · bid 26.2¢ · ask 28.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 26.3%, up 13.8pt over 24h, on a 1.8¢ spread.

Implied probability26.3%
Bid / ask / mid26.2¢ / 28.0¢ / 27.1¢
Spread1.8¢ (6.6%)
Change 24h+13.75pt
Change 7d+24.35pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,113
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$208 / $387
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 9 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.18
RSI (14, hourly)8.6
Realized vol 7d1.77pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth