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Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?

12.6% implied · bid 10.5¢ · ask 14.7¢

The market prices this at 10.7%, up 9.3pt over 24h, on a 4.2¢ spread.

Implied probability10.7%

Bid / ask / mid10.5¢ / 14.7¢ / 12.6¢

Spread4.2¢ (33.3%)

Change 24h+9.25pt

Change 7d+12.45pt

Thin (score 29/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,546

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$168 / $71

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score29.1 / 100

RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.29

RSI (14, hourly)52.2

Realized vol 7d0.90pt

Change 1h+0.30pt

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%