← Explore · Market 3212185

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

89.0% implied · bid 88.0¢ · ask 90.0¢

The market prices this at 87.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability87.0%

Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 90.0¢ / 89.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (2.2%)

Change 24h-2.50pt

Change 7d-3.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$28,263

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,971 / $34,915

Imbalance7% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score61.4 / 100

RSI 20 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-3.83

RSI (14, hourly)20.0

Realized vol 7d0.42pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 36d 23h.

Time to resolve36d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%