← Explore · Market 3213957

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31?

2.7% implied · bid 1.3¢ · ask 4.1¢

The market prices this at 4.1%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.8¢ spread.

Implied probability4.1%

Bid / ask / mid1.3¢ / 4.1¢ / 2.7¢

Spread2.8¢ (103.7%)

Change 24h-0.45pt

Change 7d-3.80pt

Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$559

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $27

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score36.0 / 100

RSI 32 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.12

RSI (14, hourly)32.3

Realized vol 7d1.41pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%