← Explore · Market 3213958
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?
21.0% implied · bid 20.0¢ · ask 22.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.0%, up 14.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability18.0%
Bid / ask / mid20.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 21.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h+14.00pt
Change 7d+4.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,386
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$111 / $106
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 79 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.44
RSI (14, hourly)79.2
Realized vol 7d2.11pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%