← Explore · Market 3213959
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?
64.5% implied · bid 64.0¢ · ask 65.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 65.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid64.0¢ / 65.0¢ / 64.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d+30.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,207
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$117 / $628
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 46 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.71
RSI (14, hourly)45.8
Realized vol 7d2.93pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%