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Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on August 31?

9.8% implied · bid 9.7¢ · ask 9.8¢

The market prices this at 10.7%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability10.7%

Bid / ask / mid9.7¢ / 9.8¢ / 9.8¢

Spread0.1¢ (1.0%)

Change 24h-0.55pt

Change 7d-14.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$450

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$124 / $104

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.6 / 100

RSI 17 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.55

RSI (14, hourly)17.1

Realized vol 7d1.80pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%