← Explore · Market 3215006
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
9.2% implied · bid 9.1¢ · ask 9.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.1%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability9.1%
Bid / ask / mid9.1¢ / 9.2¢ / 9.2¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$758
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$888 / $1,123
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.76
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d0.27pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 106d 22h.
Time to resolve106d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%