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← Explore · Market 3215007

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

60.5% implied · bid 60.0¢ · ask 61.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 61.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability61.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 61.0¢ / 60.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-7.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 76/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$374
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,721 / $48,618
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score76.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.33
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.23pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 106d 22h.

Time to resolve106d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth