← Explore · Market 3215008
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
29.0% implied · bid 28.0¢ · ask 30.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 29.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability29.0%
Bid / ask / mid28.0¢ / 30.0¢ / 29.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$16
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28,699 / $2,236
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score55.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.56
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 106d 22h.
Time to resolve106d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%