← Explore · Market 3215009

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

2.8% implied · bid 1.9¢ · ask 3.6¢

The market prices this at 2.7%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 1.7¢ spread.

Implied probability2.7%

Bid / ask / mid1.9¢ / 3.6¢ / 2.8¢

Spread1.7¢ (61.8%)

Change 24h-0.20pt

Change 7d+1.80pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$16

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,577 / $194

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.4 / 100

RSI 69 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.46

RSI (14, hourly)68.6

Realized vol 7d0.24pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 106d 22h.

Time to resolve106d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%