← Explore · Market 3215010
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
4.7% implied · bid 3.7¢ · ask 5.7¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.3%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability4.3%
Bid / ask / mid3.7¢ / 5.7¢ / 4.7¢
Spread2.0¢ (42.6%)
Change 24h-0.25pt
Change 7d-0.60pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,163
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16,480 / $879
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score48.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 18 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.80
RSI (14, hourly)17.6
Realized vol 7d0.25pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 155d 22h.
Time to resolve155d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%