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← Explore · Market 3215011

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

14.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 15.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 14.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$984 / $1,114
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.30
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.15pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 155d 22h.

Time to resolve155d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth