← Explore · Market 3215013
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
22.0% implied · bid 21.0¢ · ask 23.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 21.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability21.0%
Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 23.0¢ / 22.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (9.1%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$255
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23,195 / $3,432
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score53.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.76
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.21pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 155d 22h.
Time to resolve155d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%