← Explore · Market 3231771
Trump out as President by August 31?
0.4% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.3%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability0.3%
Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.4¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$17,662
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$403 / $604
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.21
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%