← Explore · Market 3240741
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
92.7% implied · bid 91.7¢ · ask 93.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 85.8%, up 4.3pt over 24h, on a 1.9¢ spread.
Implied probability85.8%
Bid / ask / mid91.7¢ / 93.6¢ / 92.7¢
Spread1.9¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h+4.30pt
Change 7d-1.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$47
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,346 / $6,919
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 58 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-3.84
RSI (14, hourly)57.5
Realized vol 7d0.88pt
Change 1h-0.40pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 37d 2h.
Time to resolve37d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%