← Explore · Market 3240742
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?
96.3% implied · bid 94.9¢ · ask 97.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 98.6%, down 0.8pt over 24h, on a 2.7¢ spread.
Implied probability98.6%
Bid / ask / mid94.9¢ / 97.6¢ / 96.3¢
Spread2.7¢ (2.8%)
Change 24h-0.80pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 24% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$61
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$321 / $14,847
Imbalance24% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 7.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean7.38
RSI (14, hourly)57.1
Realized vol 7d0.14pt
Change 1h+0.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 68d 2h.
Time to resolve68d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%