← Explore · Market 3240743
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?
79.5% implied · bid 79.0¢ · ask 80.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 80.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability80.0%
Bid / ask / mid79.0¢ / 80.0¢ / 79.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 33% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$729 / $6,789
Imbalance33% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.75
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.20pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 310d 2h.
Time to resolve310d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%