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Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?

78.5% implied · bid 72.0¢ · ask 85.0¢

The market prices this at 86.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 13.0¢ spread.

Implied probability86.0%

Bid / ask / mid72.0¢ / 85.0¢ / 78.5¢

Spread13.0¢ (16.6%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+22.00pt

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance17% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 46 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.63

RSI (14, hourly)46.2

Realized vol 7d1.80pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 310d 2h.

Time to resolve310d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%