← Explore · Market 3253034
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?
13.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 15.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 13.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (30.8%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$36
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8 / $33
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.14
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d1.96pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 2h.
Time to resolve6d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%