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← Explore · Market 3257332

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?

1.4% implied · bid 1.3¢ · ask 1.4¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.4%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.4%
Bid / ask / mid1.3¢ / 1.4¢ / 1.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7d+1.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$161,811
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$308 / $1,950
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score50.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.76
RSI (14, hourly)52.6
Realized vol 7d0.21pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 2h.

Time to resolve7d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth