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← Explore · Market 3257334

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?

44.1% implied · bid 43.7¢ · ask 44.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 44.0%, up 24.3pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.

Implied probability44.0%
Bid / ask / mid43.7¢ / 44.5¢ / 44.1¢
Spread0.8¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h+24.30pt
Change 7d+44.10pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$135,737
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12,684 / $7,902
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)12
Liquidity score56.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 73 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.95
RSI (14, hourly)72.6
Realized vol 7d3.02pt
Change 1h+12.25pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 0h.

Time to resolve7d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth