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Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?

45.1% implied · bid 45.0¢ · ask 45.1¢

The market prices this at 44.9%, up 5.6pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability44.9%

Bid / ask / mid45.0¢ / 45.1¢ / 45.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.2%)

Change 24h+5.65pt

Change 7d+44.60pt

Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$127,133

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,440 / $10,225

Imbalance10% bid

Large trades (>$1k)11

Liquidity score56.3 / 100

RSI 58 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.27

RSI (14, hourly)58.0

Realized vol 7d4.21pt

Change 1h+1.15pt

Resolves in 7d 3h.

Time to resolve7d 3h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%