← Explore · Market 3257358
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
0.4% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 0.5¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.4%, down 0.7pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability0.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h-0.65pt
Change 7d-3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$150,210
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$257 / $986
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)7
Liquidity score50.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 14 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.23
RSI (14, hourly)14.3
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 2h.
Time to resolve7d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%