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← Explore · Market 3257358

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?

0.4% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 0.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.4%, down 0.7pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h-0.65pt
Change 7d-3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$150,210
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$257 / $986
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)7
Liquidity score50.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 14 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.23
RSI (14, hourly)14.3
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 2h.

Time to resolve7d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth