← Explore · Market 3275538
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
2.6% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 3.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.4%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.
Implied probability2.4%
Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 3.0¢ / 2.6¢
Spread0.8¢ (30.8%)
Change 24h+0.55pt
Change 7d-21.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,240
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$96 / $214
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 78 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.87
RSI (14, hourly)78.3
Realized vol 7d1.37pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 2h.
Time to resolve7d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%