← Explore · Market 3275539
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
77.8% implied · bid 76.5¢ · ask 79.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 79.0%, up 1.6pt over 24h, on a 2.5¢ spread.
Implied probability79.0%
Bid / ask / mid76.5¢ / 79.0¢ / 77.8¢
Spread2.5¢ (3.2%)
Change 24h+1.65pt
Change 7d+1.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 40/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 23% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$325
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,257 / $2,510
Imbalance23% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score39.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 97 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.69
RSI (14, hourly)97.2
Realized vol 7d1.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 37d 2h.
Time to resolve37d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%