← Explore · Market 3275540
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?
88.0% implied · bid 87.0¢ · ask 89.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 90.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability90.0%
Bid / ask / mid87.0¢ / 89.0¢ / 88.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.3%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 55% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,466 / $1,757
Imbalance55% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.07
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.67pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 68d 2h.
Time to resolve68d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%