← Explore · Market 3347842
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?
29.5% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 32.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 30.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 29.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (16.9%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+6.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$257
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17 / $42
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 43 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.09
RSI (14, hourly)43.3
Realized vol 7d3.61pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3d 4h.
Time to resolve3d 4h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%