← Explore · Market 3347843

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in August?

3.8% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 6.6¢

The market prices this at 3.2%, down 2.1pt over 24h, on a 5.6¢ spread.

Implied probability3.2%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 6.6¢ / 3.8¢

Spread5.6¢ (147.4%)

Change 24h-2.10pt

Change 7d-1.70pt

Thin (score 22/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$108

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $22

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score22.0 / 100

RSI 36 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.06

RSI (14, hourly)36.4

Realized vol 7d0.98pt

Change 1h+0.25pt

Resolves in 3d 4h.

Time to resolve3d 4h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%