← Explore · Market 3347861
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?
10.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (66.7%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d-4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6 / $16
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 42 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.27
RSI (14, hourly)41.7
Realized vol 7d1.03pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 4h.
Time to resolve7d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%