← Explore · Market 3347862
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?
27.5% implied · bid 25.0¢ · ask 30.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 30.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid25.0¢ / 30.0¢ / 27.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d-2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$15
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$22 / $45
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 80 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.16
RSI (14, hourly)80.0
Realized vol 7d1.77pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 4h.
Time to resolve7d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%