← Explore · Market 3347863
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?
30.0% implied · bid 28.0¢ · ask 32.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 29.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability29.0%
Bid / ask / mid28.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 30.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,028
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$69 / $198
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 6.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-6.66
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d0.10pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 4h.
Time to resolve7d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%