← Explore · Market 3347864
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in August?
22.4% implied · bid 21.1¢ · ask 23.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 14.4%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.5¢ spread.
Implied probability14.4%
Bid / ask / mid21.1¢ / 23.6¢ / 22.4¢
Spread2.5¢ (11.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+4.70pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 38/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5 / $106
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score37.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.64
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.48pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 4h.
Time to resolve7d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%