← Explore · Market 3358400
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
57.5% implied · bid 57.0¢ · ask 58.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 58.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability58.0%
Bid / ask / mid57.0¢ / 58.0¢ / 57.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h+4.00pt
Change 7d-22.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$8,306
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$427 / $70
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 71 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.90
RSI (14, hourly)71.4
Realized vol 7d3.21pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 285d 22h.
Time to resolve285d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%