← Explore · Market 3372745

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?

84.0% implied · bid 83.0¢ · ask 85.0¢

The market prices this at 85.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability85.0%

Bid / ask / mid83.0¢ / 85.0¢ / 84.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (2.4%)

Change 24h+2.50pt

Change 7d+44.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 83% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$6,430

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,282 / $5,464

Imbalance83% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score44.4 / 100

RSI 42 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.05

RSI (14, hourly)41.7

Realized vol 7d4.11pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 37d 2h.

Time to resolve37d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%