← Explore · Market 3372746
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?
94.5% implied · bid 93.0¢ · ask 96.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 94.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability94.0%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 96.0¢ / 94.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.2%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+17.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 97% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$7,606
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$697 / $2,311
Imbalance97% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score36.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 83 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.25
RSI (14, hourly)83.3
Realized vol 7d1.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 3h.
Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%