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← Explore · Market 3379800

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?

71.5% implied · bid 69.0¢ · ask 74.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 74.0%, up 18.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability74.0%
Bid / ask / mid69.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 71.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (7.0%)
Change 24h+18.00pt
Change 7d+24.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 48% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,435
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$336 / $286
Imbalance48% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 95 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.64
RSI (14, hourly)94.6
Realized vol 7d2.21pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 21d 2h.

Time to resolve21d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth