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← Explore · Market 3383654

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?

9.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 10.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 10.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (10.5%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-12.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$25,876
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,867 / $2,915
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score47.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 37 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.30
RSI (14, hourly)37.5
Realized vol 7d0.91pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 3h.

Time to resolve7d 3h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth