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← Explore · Market 3399197

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

57.5% implied · bid 57.0¢ · ask 58.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 58.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability58.0%
Bid / ask / mid57.0¢ / 58.0¢ / 57.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$12,227
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12,711 / $818
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score51.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.35
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d1.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 26d 22h.

Time to resolve26d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth