← Explore · Market 3399203

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

1.1% implied · bid 0.9¢ · ask 1.2¢

The market prices this at 2.2%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability2.2%

Bid / ask / mid0.9¢ / 1.2¢ / 1.1¢

Spread0.3¢ (28.6%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d+0.75pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$20,167

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$157 / $837

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score49.0 / 100

RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.76

RSI (14, hourly)62.5

Realized vol 7d0.09pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 26d 22h.

Time to resolve26d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%