← Explore · Market 3399458

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

88.5% implied · bid 88.0¢ · ask 89.0¢

The market prices this at 89.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability89.0%

Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 89.0¢ / 88.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d+5.50pt

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$12,658

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,428 / $103,958

Imbalance15% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.31

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.42pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 36d 22h.

Time to resolve36d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%