← Explore · Market 3399459

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

80.5% implied · bid 80.0¢ · ask 81.0¢

The market prices this at 83.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability83.0%

Bid / ask / mid80.0¢ / 81.0¢ / 80.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)

Change 24h+6.00pt

Change 7d+6.00pt

Deep and tight (score 76/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$17,131

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,877 / $50,534

Imbalance10% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score76.2 / 100

RSI 70 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.04

RSI (14, hourly)70.0

Realized vol 7d0.49pt

Change 1h-1.00pt

Resolves in 67d 22h.

Time to resolve67d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%